Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.012198 2.306093 2.629359 3.011546 3.451385 3.942112 4.531714
2025-08-03 1.616768 2.006135 2.470418 3.065798 3.810549 4.713386 5.894068
2025-08-10 1.289119 1.710924 2.249551 2.989884 3.984559 5.279745 7.102570
2025-08-17 1.028026 1.446301 2.013139 2.840843 4.024710 5.666243 8.131366
2025-08-24 0.867145 1.284979 1.882068 2.802516 4.195231 6.239027 9.494157
2025-08-31 0.740213 1.149118 1.761935 2.753911 4.333134 6.772881 10.872340
2025-09-07 0.675925 1.095508 1.752712 2.866006 4.724496 7.737225 13.060643
2025-09-14 0.606884 1.022969 1.701469 2.899646 4.988831 8.528810 15.081231
2025-09-21 0.537427 0.939079 1.618710 2.865743 5.129276 9.125057 16.847099
2025-09-28 0.468649 0.846469 1.507926 2.765329 5.134222 9.478059 18.216654
2025-10-05 0.445537 0.831451 1.530200 2.905876 5.595116 10.716467 21.440331
2025-10-12 0.423204 0.814556 1.546086 3.035015 6.049722 12.001645 24.951207
2025-10-19 0.397635 0.790099 1.548216 3.145266 6.498791 13.372236 28.935268
2025-10-26 0.366749 0.751235 1.517656 3.186348 6.815061 14.525582 32.669542
2025-11-02 0.326724 0.688512 1.431175 3.098858 6.846366 15.083807 35.184387
2025-11-09 0.285470 0.617770 1.318922 2.939719 6.696062 15.220931 36.748964
2025-11-16 0.259277 0.576073 1.263034 2.897545 6.804140 15.957575 39.881289
2025-11-23 0.235422 0.536454 1.206571 2.845883 6.881883 16.634294 42.985117
2025-11-30 0.226022 0.528510 1.220177 2.961061 7.379709 18.400546 49.217632
2025-12-07 0.211960 0.507815 1.201620 2.995409 7.681309 19.724703 54.515230
2025-12-14 0.195004 0.478010 1.157684 2.960103 7.798623 20.593167 58.714821
2025-12-21 0.175917 0.440591 1.090630 2.856142 7.718947 20.927919 61.453775
2025-12-28 0.171882 0.440603 1.116761 3.001385 8.339084 23.267862 70.555087